Amanda Clinton writes: Who is the next president of Ghana in four years?

Ghana’s Political Future: The Quest for Leadership Beyond Mahama

With President John Dramani Mahama securing a resounding victory in the 2024 presidential elections, Ghana finds itself at the dawn of a new political era. However, this renewal raises an important question: who will lead the country after Mahama’s second term?

According to Ghana’s constitution, he will be ineligible to run again, unless the law is amended through a constitutional review. Given the National Democratic Congress (NDC)’s substantial majority in Parliament, such a review seems possible. However, Mahama’s current tenure may very well mark the end of his presidential journey, leaving the NDC with the crucial task of identifying his successor.

Mahama’s Legacy and its Implications for Succession

For the past eight years, President Mahama has maintained a tight grip on the NDC, positioning himself as the undisputed leader of the party. This centralization of power has ensured his dominance but, paradoxically, it has also weakened the party’s succession planning. No clear heir apparent has emerged, and the absence of a well-defined leadership structure within the NDC may present significant challenges when Mahama’s tenure ends. The lack of a prominent vice president or a strong party leader prepared to take over the reins could complicate the smooth transition of power in Ghana’s future.

Is Mahama’s Political Journey Really Over?

While Mahama faces constitutional constraints regarding re-election, recent developments suggest his political career may not be fully over. His formation of a committee to review Ghana’s constitution could be a strategic move to explore the possibility of constitutional amendments, enabling him to run for a third term.

Such amendments would require extensive support in Parliament, as well as a national referendum, making this a complex and contentious endeavor. Although Mahama has publicly expressed an intention to retire to his farm, actions like redirecting the official website of the presidency to his personal platform shortly after assuming office hint at a leader who remains deeply involved in shaping his political future.

The Vice President: Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang

Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang, the current vice president and NDC’s vice-presidential candidate in 2020, has garnered respect for her academic credentials and calm demeanor. While these qualities endear her to certain segments of the electorate, she is often criticized for lacking the political acumen and grassroots appeal necessary to lead the country.

Historically, Mahama’s choice of vice presidents has been pragmatic, with figures like the late Amissah-Arthur retained despite public discontent. This pattern raises concerns about Opoku-Agyemang’s viability as a successor. Although her academic pedigree is impressive, her ability to rally nationwide support remains questionable.

Betty Mould-Iddrisu: A Strong Contender

Betty Mould-Iddrisu stands out as one of the most competent and seasoned figures within the NDC. A former Attorney-General and Minister of Education, Mould-Iddrisu brings both domestic and international experience, having served as the first female Director of Legal Affairs at the Commonwealth Secretariat.

Her candidacy for the vice presidency during Mahama’s initial term showed her political relevance, and her legal expertise positions her as a formidable contender. Had she been selected as vice president, she could have made history as Ghana’s first female president. Mould-Iddrisu’s strong track record within the NDC, paired with her administrative capabilities, makes her an attractive option for the country’s future leadership.

Dr. Ato Forson: Potential Amidst Controversy

Dr. Ato Forson, the current Minister of Finance, has established himself as an articulate and skilled legislator. His deep understanding of economics and public finance, along with his ability to garner support within the party, places him in contention for future leadership. However, Forson’s connection to the Airbus scandal, which involves allegations of corruption during the Mahama administration, raises questions about his public image and the trust he can command as a potential candidate. Although his role in the scandal is unclear, such controversies could undermine his prospects.

Haruna Iddrisu: A Grassroots Leader with Regional Appeal

Haruna Iddrisu, the former Minority Leader and current Minister of Education, is another figure frequently discussed in succession talks. His articulate advocacy and deep connection with grassroots supporters provide him with a solid political base. However, his regional appeal and ability to unite the various factions within the NDC will be key to his success. Iddrisu’s leadership experience and strong relationships within the party make him a potential leader of the NDC, though his ability to broaden his appeal will be crucial.

Zenator Rawlings: The Political Legacy of a New Generation

Zenator Rawlings, the daughter of Ghana’s former president Jerry John Rawlings, represents a new generation of political leadership within the NDC. A former head girl at Wesley Girls’ High School, Zenator has displayed strength and poise in her political journey so far. While her leadership style remains somewhat enigmatic, she has the potential to carve out a unique identity within the party. Her ability to connect with grassroots supporters, along with her family’s significant political legacy, positions her as a figure to watch closely. If groomed and supported within the NDC, Zenator could emerge as a dynamic and unifying figure for the party’s future.

Dominic Ayine: The Intellectual Candidate

Dominic Ayine, the current Attorney General, brings an extensive legal background and political experience to the table. A former Deputy Attorney General and a respected academic, Ayine has shown an ability to navigate complex constitutional and political issues. His candidacy could appeal to more reform-minded voters and intellectuals within the electorate. However, like others, his ability to connect with grassroots voters will be critical to his success as a national leader.

Dr. Kwabena Duffuor: An Economic Expert with Political Challenges

Dr. Kwabena Duffuor, a former Minister of Finance and Governor of the Bank of Ghana, is widely regarded for his economic expertise. His leadership during challenging financial periods and his role in stabilizing the country’s economy provide him with significant credibility in fiscal matters. However, Duffuor’s political influence within the NDC is still largely untested on a large scale. While his credentials are impressive, his broader appeal and capacity to galvanize the party’s base remain uncertain.

The Rise of New Leadership

As the NDC moves forward, there is considerable room for new faces to emerge, especially among young, dynamic politicians who can energize the party and offer fresh perspectives. These emerging leaders, with strong grassroots support and a clear vision for the country, could become key figures in the NDC’s future. Identifying and nurturing such individuals will be crucial for the party as it seeks to rebuild its leadership base and expand its influence.

Global and Local Challenges Impacting Ghana’s Political Future

Looking ahead, the global political landscape could also play a pivotal role in shaping Ghana’s future. With major geopolitical shifts, such as the potential return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency, the international environment could impose new challenges on Ghana’s leadership. Whether these developments are grounded in reality or part of larger political narratives, they will likely influence national politics and impact the leadership direction in Ghana.

Conclusion: The Search for a Successor

As Ghana embarks on this new chapter under President Mahama, the question of who will succeed him remains urgent. The NDC must carefully consider its options and work to ensure a smooth transition of power. While Mahama’s leadership has secured the party’s dominance for now, his inability to run in the next election due to constitutional constraints exposes gaps in succession planning.

Figures like Betty Mould-Iddrisu, Dr. Ato Forson, and Zenator Rawlings all present intriguing possibilities for Ghana’s next president, but the NDC must act swiftly to prepare for the future. As Ghana continues to navigate these challenges, the race for leadership will shape the country’s political landscape for years to come.